The Nifty Terminal Indicator condenses fundamental, technical, and economic signals into a single 0 to 100 score for the NIFTY 50 index. Higher values indicate cheaper valuations and better risk-reward odds. Instead of guessing market tops, use today's score to set the split for this month's fresh savings between equity index funds and capital-preserving arbitrage funds.
This rule applies strictly to new monthly capital. Your existing equity holdings stay invested for the long term, while fresh money is held in a waiting room whenever valuations become stretched, ready to be redeployed when the market offers better value.
MARKET VALUATION
How much should you invest in Equity this month?
100% Equity
Market sits in the fair valuation zone. 85.48% of past one-year windows ended positive, 69.08% beat 7% a year, and the average return was +15.00%.
Historical performance
Negative
14.52%
0 to 7%
16.40%
7 to 12%
16.52%
12 to 20%
18.90%
Above 20%
33.66%
Historical results only. Past returns do not guarantee future performance.
Portfolio action
Invest 100% of this month's money in Index Fund. Keep your Arbitrage fund untouched.
Choose a period to see how NIFTY 50 performed after past days in each valuation zone. Rows show the share of outcomes in each return range and the average return, based on history rather than a forecast.
| Starting valuation | Negative | 0–7% | 7–12% | 12–20% | >20% | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Extremely expensive 0-30 | 63.18% | 9.08% | 10.72% | 6.74% | 10.29% | −6.63% |
Expensive 30-40 | 30.87% | 20.13% | 12.44% | 16.16% | 20.39% | +9.42% |
Fair 40-60Today | 14.52% | 16.40% | 16.52% | 18.90% | 33.66% | +15.00% |
Cheap 60-70 | 6.40% | 16.40% | 13.20% | 9.20% | 54.80% | +29.44% |
Extremely cheap 70-100 | 0.00% | 1.39% | 1.51% | 7.89% | 89.21% | +49.79% |
History does not offer certainty, but it can reveal a strong pattern. The most expensive indicator readings were followed by losses nearly two-thirds of the time. The cheapest readings produced no negative 1-year outcomes in the observed record.
The backtest shows a meaningful separation, not a minor difference. The indicator’s extremely expensive zone had a 63.18% negative-outcome rate. Its extremely cheap zone had 0.00%. That contrast is the reason to treat the score as useful context.
Historical 1y forward rolling return based on 6,651 trading samples
Updated daily after market close